spark*insights

Canadians grow more skeptical of US and Israeli action against Iran

In 20 days, support has dropped by 7 points, opposition is up 13, and few are confident that US and Israeli leadership have a plan.

Mar 30, 2026

The American and Israeli war against Iran is 29 days old, and is costing America somewhere between a billion and 2 billion dollars a day.

Far from getting a “rally around the flag” public opinion boost, Americans were skeptical from the start, and opinion has been hardening, especially against the idea of putting American troops on the ground. Even most Republican voters oppose that idea.

Canadians started out skeptical and a majority now oppose the action. For every one who supports the action, more than 2 oppose it. Opposition is up 13 points in 20 days. The war finds little support in any region. Conservatives are more likely than any others to support it, but still more oppose.

Whatever people may have thought were the virtues of this conflict (our question specifically mentioned the goal of ending the repression of Iranians and keeping Iran from developing nuclear weapons), the decline in support is likely due to grave doubts that this was well planned.

Today, a majority of Canadians say they have “no confidence at all that the leadership of the US and Israel have carefully planned out this effort.” Those doubts have grown 12 points in 20 days.

As the world anticipates still greater costs, geopolitical instability, and rolling economic damage from the war, Canadians see a chaotic misadventure led by an American President they dislike and distrust.

American public opinion is clearly indicating to the White House that “boots on the ground” may be the line that even Republicans are unwilling to cross by Trump’s side.

Just 46 days ago, the US Attorney General Pam Bondi made headlines by saying the Dow crossed 50,000 for the first time, and “that’s what people should be talking about”. Now the Dow is 9% below its peak and entered correction territory on Friday.

The Trump administration has not convinced the public that the war is being won, or will be won. Canadians had doubts to begin with, and have seen little but downsides for the world, in the first month of this war.

About spark*insights

spark*insights is led by Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading and most experienced public opinion researchers. From polling and research to analysis and guidance, we help organizations, uncover the factors driving or influencing public perception to gain valuable insights into the shape and movement of the landscape.

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